@niplav | show @replies
[677 updates]
# run this to follow @niplav in the app
[5 days ago]
learning pickup is rewriting your life-history strategy
[10 days ago]
schelling.pt down :-(
[11 days ago]
a pride flag for heterosexual men who don't like women
[11 days ago]
what is the value of knowing the action of a more powerful optimizer in a single universe-state?
[12 days ago]
kind of insane that the average life expectancy in 1800 was nearly half as much as the one in the country with the lowest life expectancy today (28.5 years then, 50.7 years today in Lesotho)
[2 weeks ago]
limited wireheaders seem safe but useless (modulo experimentability)
[2 weeks ago]
one might argue that we have huge amounts of uranium and other radioactive elements in the earth's crust already, and since we only extract energy from nuclear energy, putting the waste back should make the earth less dangerous, not more. but the isoto...
[3 weeks ago]
@adi "@niplav I got the joke!" -> Congrats! i didn't
[3 weeks ago]
every wisepost can (but doesn't have to) be credited to carl shulman
[3 weeks ago]
yes, I'm in favour of a combination of fusion power and solar (dyson sphere)
[3 weeks ago]
father (pointing at night sky): one day this all will be yours, son.
[3 weeks ago]
really mad about the death of the FAQ
[3 weeks ago]
gigapearce
[3 weeks ago]
we probably have a kilofoq of value in this universe, probably more (https://arbital.com/p/cosmic_endowment/)
[3 weeks ago]
foq: (ten to the) fifty-one QALYs
[3 weeks ago]
bigword bigwords bigword2
[3 weeks ago]
joule supremacy
[3 weeks ago]
guy who can't use a twitter account responsibly
[3 weeks ago]
age of em is transpositive send twt
[3 weeks ago]
just to make clear: people who actually identify as attack helicopters are unironically valid
[3 weeks ago]
the hardest sci-fi is just 22 pages of differential equations describing the dynamics of Omohundro sludge
[4 weeks ago]
meme innoculation
[4 weeks ago]
Die Wimpern der Cherubim
[4 weeks ago]
I want you to spell out the context. like in porn
[4 weeks ago]
[4 weeks ago]
maybe elites appear incompetent because they're mostly trying to prevent AI disaster behind the curtains? perhaps that's why GPT-4 hasn't appeared yet – they coordinated not to do it.
[5 weeks ago]
on the other hand, induction has also never worked before for anti-inductionists, so they might try it.
[1.2 months ago]
lol, just realised that standard AI risk is just environmental disaster risk amped up to 10^(10^10), only that the direct perpetrator isn't humanity (we're only the proximate perpetrator). huh
[1.2 months ago]
at some point you realise that david pearce is right about everything, nick cammarata is right about everything, andrés gomez emilsson is right about everything.
[1.2 months ago]
[1.2 months ago]
what,,, you are trying to do good? how about I complain about you wanting to do good, and accuse you of being evil, even though on further questioning I would agree your actions are at worst net-negative?
[1.2 months ago]
children are also just self-replicating probes
[1.4 months ago]
not a big fan of retributive justice, but considering the fact that mosquitoe-borne diseases have killed **half of all humans that have ever lived**, we might consider exterminating the fuckers just because they deserve it.
[1.4 months ago]
people who use kilowatt-hours of something should go f**k themselves
[1.4 months ago]
collecting large STEM datasets for training huge models a good step for avoiding human models?
[1.4 months ago]
beating the ender dragon in minecraft with dying <100 times (but arbitrary training on video beforehand) seems like a nice candidate for another fire alarm (I wonder whether people would panic then, or whether that challenge is already AI-complete)
[1.4 months ago]
paradises, peacocks, peaches and palimpsests! Prussians, prowlers plus plumous penguins, priestess parks principles – priceless.
[1.5 months ago]
the existence of competence porn implies the existence of competence horniness
[1.6 months ago]
it is cold in the anthropic shadow.
[1.7 months ago]
a bunch of money in celestial futures: long on angels, but the bulk put into ein sof
[1.7 months ago]
my single-peaked ass
[1.7 months ago]
censors will censor complaints about being censored. therefore we should complain about censorship all the time – once those complaints disappear, we know things are going downhill.
[1.7 months ago]
“= I've been waiting for this for years. I don't want to join in what I read is supposed to be a highly competitive work environment. But I am impressed by the vision and potential of your approach.” Pretty much my reaction to new many EA stuff.
[1.7 months ago]
“Two men in mirror saws the edge of time For real or woe, we bury the grass and raise the” cryptic
[1.7 months ago]
“ah, but I use myself as a handle”
[1.7 months ago]
Hah, tweet-like-me.xyz with my old twitter handle is great. “Agreed. Should we therefore call for »epsilon umeshisms«?”
[1.8 months ago]
a model that gives a probability distribution over 12 orders of magnitude is good and brave and we need more of it.
[1.8 months ago]
@alip "Br em hlk rmnnd, Fkrdm, bkldryrum! Ben br bk ucuyum, Kvg verm hlkn, Bkldryrum te, Vrn benm frkm ! #sydbx" -> Aoe iiiu! Iyou eiau üuiu yäiiö. Äuuuůǒ ēēiyou #ïïïyae
[1.8 months ago]
i remember having quite strange & unusual qualia as a child (kind of hard to describe & varied, i remember 2 specifically (not just the old “having more imagination” or “being easier to frighten”, but on a similar level as déja vu)), but these have fad...
[1.9 months ago]
I'm not an intellectual, I'm just a guy who likes to f**k.
[1.9 months ago]
@(frogorbits.com) "@niplav interesting, it seems like you uploaded at least two weeks worth of posts sometime between yesterday and right now" -> Yes. I have changed my interaction with the internet a little bit – uploading/downloading in batches, not ...
[1.9 months ago]
gifted child? no. I am a childish gift
[1.9 months ago]
if there is a reachable maximal economic productivity of matterenergy/spacetime, then at some point economic progress will slow from exponential to cubic, since if one expands at a constant fraction of c, then the growth is proportional to the volume o...
[1.9 months ago]
theiropia, ouropia, heropia, hisopia
[1.9 months ago]
youropia
[1.9 months ago]
globe-decorated neo-neoliberals were furiously fruitlessly arguing with zero-summers on twitter, shaman bros were helping others get laid at parties funded by eternal-life cryptomoguls, infra-red haired identity-fractalites with two dozen Mercedes star...
[1.9 months ago]
identity politics defection from class warfare, maybe?
[2.0 months ago]
the inclusive genetic fitness party
[2.1 months ago]
trump turned out to not be such a big deal
[2.1 months ago]
gonna start crediting Carl Shulman for some of my ideas, seems trendy right now
[2.1 months ago]
Ah! “Logical Prior Probability” (Demski 2008). Of course
[2.1 months ago]
Niplav Yushtun, treasurer of the “Clone John von Neumann a Million Times” party
[2.1 months ago]
why no paradise engineering companies?
[2.1 months ago]
not reading
[2.1 months ago]
the singular of equilibria is equilibrium goddamnit!
[2.1 months ago]
impact measures depend on, rather than specify, inaction baselines
[2.1 months ago]
bullett
[2.1 months ago]
meditation techniques have inbuilt anti-abuse mechanism if they reduce agency and/or wanting
[2.3 months ago]
basin of corrigibility seems to be a reasonably large crux for prosaic alignment vs. miri debates
[2.3 months ago]
don't be middle class
[2.3 months ago]
[2.3 months ago]
nice bullet you got there. would be a shame if someone were to…… bite it
[2.4 months ago]
impac
[2.4 months ago]
metis, doxa, episteme, gnosis, techne – did I forget anything?
[2.4 months ago]
because prune needs to be more calibrated than babble
[2.4 months ago]
or: sneering=uncalibrated pruning
[2.4 months ago]
sneering is pruning without any metric of success
[2.4 months ago]
left not as good at babble as it used to be? more pruney, definitely
[2.4 months ago]
no canonical universal turing machine for solomonoff induction
[2.5 months ago]
………women
[2.5 months ago]
and, not to forget the obvious contender,
[2.5 months ago]
……girls
[2.5 months ago]
the burrito judge needs to be extremely powerful
[2.5 months ago]
formalise early, formalise often
[2.5 months ago]
ikto verso lapido
[2.5 months ago]
does the buddha have maze nature?
[2.6 months ago]
rational people can use very irrational people as babble generators in conversations, if the rational people are high prune (which they usually are).
[2.6 months ago]
qouta
[2.6 months ago]
not yet woke
[2.6 months ago]
cannibalistic respectability cascades in the water supply
[2.6 months ago]
memdemic
[2.6 months ago]
[2.6 months ago]
(mostly)
[2.6 months ago]
excess wealth spent on addiction or sex
[2.6 months ago]
approached a girl on saturday. the approach itself was nothing special, & i got rejected as expected. BUT I know understand what all those guys mean with femininity. this girl was dripping with it. she even gave me a compliment (“you have beautiful eye...
[2.6 months ago]
looking forward to the moment when i can first smack someone with my copy of Grand Futures because they're being an annoying pseudo-primitivist – the satisfying sound of a thousand pages of industrial strength paper against their weak biological skull
[2.6 months ago]
carteography
[2.6 months ago]
MFTOM
[2.6 months ago]
MFTOC
[2.6 months ago]
how come nobody takes the view seriously that coordination is eternally hard on all levels?
[2.6 months ago]
discourse between a man and his baaaaaa
[2.6 months ago]
at least we'll die a really cool death
[2.6 months ago]
what a strange optimizer it is
[2.6 months ago]
a date with a human model
[2.6 months ago]
todo: find some nice population axiologies where the bound is a parameter
[2.6 months ago]
makes me update towards the awfulness of ancestral environment
[2.6 months ago]
ancestral social environment probably most comparable with today's high school – everybody is very near each other a lot of the time, high amounts of common knowledge. differences: existence of age gaps in AE, more common tasks
[2.7 months ago]
gridworlds scenario with corrigible/noncorrigible subagents
[2.7 months ago]
“improve the system” is not an atomic action
[2.8 months ago]
https://www.lesswrong.com/s/7CdoznhJaLEKHwvJW/p/LfGzAduBWzY5gq6FE uses color really well in proofs. I will need to copy that.
[2.8 months ago]
forecasting questions can be divided into “we have an indicator, let the people forecast it” and “we have a question, let's find an indicator/indicators to concretise it”
[2.8 months ago]
Gotami said: “why is experience bad so often?” Upon hearing this, the nun got enlightened.
[2.8 months ago]
internal/external validity for attractiveness rankings
[2.8 months ago]
heiliges römisches rotes kreuz deutscher nation
[2.9 months ago]
even an ASI would defer to an even smarter version of itself. does this solve the problem of fully updated deference?
[2.9 months ago]
twitch, robot, twitch!
[2.9 months ago]
toe tall, I tear ian?
[2.9 months ago]
@iolfree "TEST hello twtxt xxx" -> :wave:
[3.0 months ago]
amazing they managed to get double-blind RCTs through asymmetric justice
[3.0 months ago]
christianity has been bad for sexuality, do other religions fare better? monotheistic ones don't seem to
[3.0 months ago]
tibeetan dreeem yooeeeeeeeee
[3.0 months ago]
guy who has always wanted to get into lucid dreaming
[3.0 months ago]
(yes, I know the thought experiment doesn't come from buridan)
[3.0 months ago]
buridan's ass: not sure which cheek to clap
[3.0 months ago]
“considered harmful” is not about harm: an opinionated review is all you need
[3.0 months ago]
if MDMA is libido-enhancing for women, and libido-diminishing for men, then that points at an important joint between male and female sexuality.
[3.0 months ago]
the gearless gear
[3.0 months ago]
I put on my best reference class tennis outfit
[3.0 months ago]
bell's theorem for the haecceity of qualia
[3.1 months ago]
yay ingroup
[3.1 months ago]
markov as inverse lindy
[3.1 months ago]
That's pretty Markov of you, my friend
[3.1 months ago]
DSOTM=Doesn't seem obvious to me.
[3.1 months ago]
philosophical bullets i'm not (yet) willing to bite: illusionism, accepting the repugnant conclusion.
[3.1 months ago]
“showing that you care” type signalling depends on the sunk cost fallacy; or, there was selection pressure against the sunk cost fallacy (modulo reputation effects)
[3.1 months ago]
Robin Hanson is pretty good evidence for the Orthogonality Hypothesis
[3.1 months ago]
how much would you X yourself?
[3.1 months ago]
or, worse, a minus
[3.1 months ago]
I dislike it when people use two en dashes for an em dash
[3.2 months ago]
wondering whether non-compartmentalization is a result of monotheism
[3.2 months ago]
boneless intellectuals
[3.3 months ago]
i want a smallpox vaccine
[3.3 months ago]
putting myself on a list by googling various bioinfohazards
[3.3 months ago]
6fe54e3e669470cf6b3b371149716d06704beda48a0ca553f45cf4a913edd180
[3.3 months ago]
“Attention is all you need”. Fucking prophetic
[3.3 months ago]
mesamodernism
[3.3 months ago]
bayesically,
[3.3 months ago]
PIPO
[3.5 months ago]
every man is a pick up artist. some even know it
[3.6 months ago]
a microwave without the urge to beep
[3.6 months ago]
it's just a set bro, it doesn't even contain anything
[3.6 months ago]
preposterous to assume that mathematical objects are real
[3.6 months ago]
*everbody* had a hard time in highschool :thinking_face:
[3.6 months ago]
middle manager of the local dharma
[3.6 months ago]
the good thing about this is - …………uhh…………………
[3.6 months ago]
muggee
[3.7 months ago]
“those motherfuckers actually read what I write. lmao” – Nick Land
[3.7 months ago]
it's important to remember: people rarely fundamentally change
[3.7 months ago]
alignment posting gf, capabilities posting gf
[3.7 months ago]
tonalli gf, teyolía bf
[3.8 months ago]
the success of discord and its consequences have been a disaster for online information flow
[3.8 months ago]
deontology more embedded than consequentialism?
[3.8 months ago]
guy who has had unkind thoughts about Eliezer Yudkowsky
[3.8 months ago]
guy who is building AGI on a discord server with his buddies instead of getting himself a girlfriend
[3.8 months ago]
marvel and be wary
[3.8 months ago]
someone (not me) should try to learn the 1k most common words in as many languages as possible
[3.8 months ago]
FreeBSDick
[3.8 months ago]
Venn diagrams work better on hyperbolic surfaces?
[3.9 months ago]
Let A be the set of AI alignment complete problems. What is the problem a /∈ A so that solving a maximally delays the development of AGI? What is a, weighted by how hard/desirable it is?
[3.9 months ago]
Yes, I can shoehorn interpreting extropianism into every poem by Schiller. This is going to be a regular thing.
[3.9 months ago]
This is obviously about O'Neill cylinders, empathetic pearcean valence, and the supercooperation cluster
[3.9 months ago]
Was den großen Ring bewohnet / huldige der Sympathie / zu den Sternen leitet sie / wo der Unbekannte thronet
[4.0 months ago]
@movq "Laphroaig. 🥃 🥴" <3
[4.1 months ago]
consequentialist buddhism
[4.1 months ago]
chopping wood and carrying water: an endocrinological approach
[4.1 months ago]
I think I understand 5-10 now. It basically says “Let's say I jumped out of the airplane. I would only do that if I had a parachute. So, any version of me that jumps out of the airplane has a parachute. Therefore, if I jump out of the airplane, I'll ha...
[4.2 months ago]
status-acquisition more anti-inductive than money-acquistition?
[4.2 months ago]
@frogorbits.com Would you recommend it?
[4.2 months ago]
@frogorbits.com "@niplav Speaking of ontologies, you’ve heard of <https://www.liberaugmen.com/>, right?" -> Yes, I've seen Pressman shill it, but I haven't looked at it too closely. I have the intuition that it won't tell me _that_ much new stuff, but ...
[4.3 months ago]
caviarance
[4.4 months ago]
probably similar to solomonoff, just in the number of variables, and without the computability aspect (since we know that prop-formulas can be evaluated in exponential time)
[4.4 months ago]
what is a good prior over sentences in propositional logic?
[4.4 months ago]
Surely people have thought about this, but is it _so_ useful to include proofs in textbooks?
[4.6 months ago]
“memeticist” as a description of someone who makes memes
[4.6 months ago]
much lower than we'd expect from naively extrapolating just to the increased lifespan.
[4.6 months ago]
discount rates seem to spring mostly from being sure of ones own death. beings without aging would have extremely low discount rates, I think?
[4.6 months ago]
major difference between updating on evidence vs. morals: we know that a bayesian is converging (monotonically?) towards truth with each piece of evidence, while with moral progress, it seems likely that we are not bounded in how wrong our updates can ...
[4.6 months ago]
FreeBSDitties
[4.6 months ago]
pïti streaming into the sky!
[4.6 months ago]
every permutation is a bijection, not every bijection is a permutation. this wasn't obvious to me!
[4.7 months ago]
ratiome
[4.7 months ago]
in meditation, the only standard one _can_ set for ones own performance is ones own.
[4.7 months ago]
fake liminal space
[4.7 months ago]
fake space
[4.7 months ago]
I can often distinguish sympathetic mockery from sneering mockery, even with relatively litlte context. I wonder why – what am I picking up on? What is the distinct way of making fun of someone you actually like vs. don't like?
[4.8 months ago]
800 mio. years too late
[4.8 months ago]
the horny that can be bonked is not the eternal horny
[4.9 months ago]
the average meaning fan vs. the gradients of bliss enjoyer
[4.9 months ago]
Paint is not the unit of effort
[5.0 months ago]
AIXI for polynomial curve fitting
[5.0 months ago]
i'm sure people have studied this: maybe strategically voting iteratively reaches a fixed point in which point report their actual preferences?
[5.0 months ago]
(⋅,⋅)
[5.0 months ago]
my brain really likes accumulation.
[5.0 months ago]
Maybe the difficulty of problems is pretty randomly distributed, but we write off the obviously impossible ones, and the very easy ones are plucked early, resulting in the impression that the universe is “shitty, but not hellish” for problem-solvers
[5.1 months ago]
every problem created by utilitarianism can be solved by more & purer utilitarianism
[5.1 months ago]
Whether to invest in stocks is moral tracks with whether general economic growth is moral.
[5.1 months ago]
a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z
[5.1 months ago]
A: “X is number”. B: “Thats not true, X is not number”. If B doesnt provide an alternative number (or an explanation of why a number is not applicable here), Im often more inclined towards believing A.
[5.1 months ago]
2x3: {lives in social/physical reality}×{views things generally as positive/zero/negative sum}. To be honest, I think there's relatively few people in social positive sum reality frames.
[5.1 months ago]
the counterpoint would be that I'm already begging the question with that attitude, though.
[5.1 months ago]
maybe that's my queasiness around emotional arguers: they share beliefs more than evidence, and nearly never models
[5.1 months ago]
sharing beliefs < sharing evidence < sharing models < sharing ontologies
[5.1 months ago]
Just because things are impossible doesn't mean they wouldn't be good
[5.1 months ago]
“Break at the Byte”, a programmer adventure story.
[5.1 months ago]
huh, txtnish seems to have problems with linebreaks & unicode;.
[5.1 months ago]
twt is better because I can pronounce it like twit, which sounds a bit like “twat”, which is an insult and therefore better.
[5.1 months ago]
@hecanjog "I can see the sinewave of my own mood skimming through past twtxts..." ▁▂▄▅▆▅▄▂▁▂▄▅▆▅▄▂▁▂▄▅▆▅▄▂▁
[5.1 months ago]
metaculus is only realiable newssite send twt
[5.1 months ago]
hardmore as much things as you can, ordered by importance. easymode the rest.
[5.2 months ago]
if you're weird, spending time around non-weird people is not going to make you more normal. but if you spend time with marginally less weird people, you're probably going to become less weird.
[5.2 months ago]
@hecanjog "Maybe Satoshi was an anti-capitalist after all?" -> Why do you think that?
[5.2 months ago]
@movq "Random thought: Would be great if you could do `for i in ...; do something "$i" & done ; wait` in a Shell script, but with the Shell only spawning one process per CPU." -> Interesting which annoyances stay...
[5.2 months ago]
humiliating how long it took me to realise that the Metamorphosis by Kafka was about disability.
[5.2 months ago]
quantilizing porn
[5.2 months ago]
violation of schelling point as indicators of antimemetic infestation.
[5.2 months ago]
@off_grid_living "Beautiful sunny day today, at Dululu." <3
[5.2 months ago]
@hecanjog "Just discovered an unsaved vim buffer sitting in a local tmux session I forgot about for days now. Yikes. At least it was easy to remember where I left off. :)" -> Hopefully something important
[5.2 months ago]
the universe needs to meditate
[5.3 months ago]
female spiders eat males after mating bc males won't provide for offspring, so they might as well provide nutrients for the mother
[5.3 months ago]
life is quined matter
[5.3 months ago]
universes with more life probably more compressible
[5.3 months ago]
typos on a darknet market site. programmers *sigh*
[5.4 months ago]
~problematic~
[5.4 months ago]
Annoyance: it is the exception, rather than the norm, that taking away options from someone helps them.
[5.4 months ago]
The last thing ever felt was a medium-surprised “huh.”, as when one comes across a novel, but not very surprising new fact. After August 23rd 2039 11:34, nothing ever happened in an awareness again.
[5.5 months ago]
@mox "so much is different now, i feel like i'm in a completely different place then when i was writing here last" -> Welcome back
[5.5 months ago]
5-word horror story: law of conversation of valence
[5.6 months ago]
@adi "@niplav Your reasoning is that if Zeus would create mistresses he would create _too many_ people?" -> Nope, that he wouldn't be able to control them (since they are only slightly less powerful than him), and...
[5.7 months ago]
Skolem constants are just Skolem functions of arity 0, they have no universal quantifiers around them.
[5.7 months ago]
maybe gods have the problem that they only can create beings slightly weaker than themselves, so they don't create as much as they would want to (this would be the reason why Zeus rapes/seduces random women and doesn't just create mistresses – the mist...
[5.7 months ago]
"@niplav (#<kfgri5a https://twtxt.net/search?tag=kfgri5a>) There are no expectations when you're honest. Expectations and honesty don't mix." -> I honestly wasn't expecting _that_ answer :)
[5.7 months ago]
before awakening: basic inframeasure theory. after awakening: advanced inframeasure theory.
[5.7 months ago]
enlightenment as a road to reductionism
[5.7 months ago]
subsumption lattices in the water supply
[5.7 months ago]
That way, you can create pockets of honesty, while still succeeding when dishonesty is necessary.
[5.7 months ago]
Be as honest to other people as you expect them to be to you.
[5.8 months ago]
the mental motion that is equivalent to the physical motion you make when you expel residual fluid out of your urethra
[5.8 months ago]
[5.9 months ago]
@jlj "@niplav (#<xvbnyma https://twt.nfld.uk/search?tag=xvbnyma>) Fascinating. :-) Suspect #<RMS https://twt.nfld.uk/search?tag=RMS> would have a violent physical reaction -- accompanied by some salty language -...
[5.9 months ago]
epistemic status: taking semi-jokes seriously) “irrationalism” would be a much much better name than “rationalism”: it sounds more humble (and this _is_ important to the outside world, name not yet taken, and it carries in it a very central point of ba...
[5.9 months ago]
but now, for something enjoyable: [commmutative hyperoperators](https://observablehq.com/@ishi/arithmetic) and [their implementation](https://niplav.github.io/notes.html#Implementing-Commutative-Hyperoperators)
[5.9 months ago]
RMS would have been well advised to learn some [Kolmogorov complicity](https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/10/23/kolmogorov-complicity-and-the-parable-of-lightning/) – unfortunately he's more on the Kantorovich side, and hadn't gotten bitten as hard before
[5.9 months ago]
@alip "We are calling for Richard M. Stallman to be removed from all leadership positions, including the GNU Project. https://rms-open-letter.github.io/" highly contextual/simulacrous memeplexes exclude high-va...
[5.9 months ago]
Chapman's sites are wonderfully wgettable
[6.0 months ago]
Impossible → God can't do. But what about: God doesn't want → Impossible
[6.1 months ago]
hem hock